Super Bowl XLIV Prediction

Conference Championships: 0-2  Season: 5-5

I did pick the Saints to win, but I also picked them to cover (which they did not do).  This Super Bowl will make or break my post season, as I am currently at .500.

New Orleans Saints 15-3 (+5) vs. Indianapolis Colts  (16-2) at Miami

What I use as an indicator on who is going to win the Super Bowl is how the two teams fared against the Washington Redskins.  The Colts did not play the Redskins, but the Saints did.  The Saints looked horrible defensively, allowing the Bingo-calling offense of the Redskins to score 30 points.  Unfortunately, the Saints scored 33 points against a pretty good (despite the 4-12 record) defense.  The Redskins led by 10 points twice in the game (including in the fourth quarter), but the Saints’ offensive was too explosive.

People will point out that both teams have high-powered offensive and under appreciated, but very good defenses.  Any team that gives up 30 points to an offense as anemic as the Redskins has serious flaws.

Take the Colts and give the points.