My Take on the Republican Race for President

Current Delegate Count (as of 3/26/2012)

Romney – 568

Santorum – 273

Gingrich – 135

Paul – 50

Heare* – 0

*Not a Republican

Continuing the Republican Primary race until June would be more exciting if the race was close.  Romney has double the delegates of Santorum, who has double the delegates of Gingrich, who has double the delegates of Paul, who has double the delegates of Heare, who has as many Republican delegates as Barack Obama.

Barring a major scandal, Mitt Romney will be the Republican nominee for President.  Most political pundits will tell you that who becomes President depends on who is the better candidate.  There is a truth in that in elections that neither candidate is an incumbent.  What matters in the elections with an incumbent is the state of the country.  If the country is in bad shape, then anybody can beat the incumbent.  The incumbent can beat anybody if the country is in great shape.

My chances are better because the country is not in very good shape.  The economy is still improving, but will stall when gas hits $4.50/gallon in May.  Crime is down right now but will increase with the increase in gas prices.  Justin Bieber is still in this country.  (As a reminder, I am the only candidate who has discussed the importance of deporting Bieber.)

There will be no more debates.  This helps Romney more than the other candidates because he’ll be on TV live less and fewer people will see his blunders.  This hurts Ron Paul the most because he was getting the fewest questions during the debates.  He tended to get more votes in primaries and caucuses following a debate.  I am the same way, which is why I wasn’t even invited to debate.

Instead of the Republican race being a tightrope event waiting to see if the tightrope walker can get to the other side, it’s the last days of a terminally ill patient that Americans are watching and hoping for the best.

Advertisements