2012 NFL Season – Wild Card Round

Week 17: 11-5 (.656) Best Bets: 2-1 (.688)
Season to Date: 123-130-3 (.486) Best Bets: 26-24-1 (.520)

The hot last two weeks was not quite enough to bring me ro the ,500 mark.  There’s always next year.  But this year is the playoffs and a new chance to show my smarts (or lack thereof).   For the playoffs I will give insight as to how each game is going to go.  This is a chance to see how a real life presidential candidate thinks.

Date & Time     Favorite          Spread          Underdog

1/5 4:30 ET         At Houston          -4.5                Cincinnati

The Texans are reeling, having lost three out of the last four games.  The Bengals look impressive against the Browns and Chiefs, but not as impressive against playoff-caliber teams.  Houston survives this game only to get slapped around next week.  Take the Texans and give the points.

1/5 8:00 ET        At Green Bay       -7.5               Minnesota

The temperature in Minnesota will be around 20 degrees Fahrenheit at kickoff.  This would be good news if Minnesota played outdoors and was at home.  It will be about the same temperature in Green Bay, where they do play outdoors.  The Packers should win, but Adrian Petersen should keep it close.  Take the Vikings and the points.

1/6 1:00 ET       At Baltimore         -7                   Indianapolis

Once upon a time, the city of Baltimore would love nothing more than to see the Colts win a playoff game.  The city will be bumming after the Colts win in Baltimore this Sunday.  Mainly because the Colts are Indianapolis’s team while Baltimore has the original Browns team (now called the Ravens).  Take the Colts (Indianapolis) and the points.

1/6 4:30 ET       Seattle                     -3                 At Washington

Seattle fans see “Seattle at Washington” and wish this game was being played in the state of Washington and not the District of Columbia.   Unfortunately, this is the end of the road for my Washington Redskins.  😦  The Seahawks will run and throw all over the ‘Skins and win easily.  Take the Seahawks and give the points.

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Super Bowl XLIV Prediction

Conference Championships: 0-2  Season: 5-5

I did pick the Saints to win, but I also picked them to cover (which they did not do).  This Super Bowl will make or break my post season, as I am currently at .500.

New Orleans Saints 15-3 (+5) vs. Indianapolis Colts  (16-2) at Miami

What I use as an indicator on who is going to win the Super Bowl is how the two teams fared against the Washington Redskins.  The Colts did not play the Redskins, but the Saints did.  The Saints looked horrible defensively, allowing the Bingo-calling offense of the Redskins to score 30 points.  Unfortunately, the Saints scored 33 points against a pretty good (despite the 4-12 record) defense.  The Redskins led by 10 points twice in the game (including in the fourth quarter), but the Saints’ offensive was too explosive.

People will point out that both teams have high-powered offensive and under appreciated, but very good defenses.  Any team that gives up 30 points to an offense as anemic as the Redskins has serious flaws.

Take the Colts and give the points.

NFL 2009 Conference Championships Predictions

Last week: 2-2  Season: 5-3

Last week I correctly predicted both AFC Divisional Round games while I sucked wind picking the NFC games.  I can assure you that I will not get any more games wrong this week than I did last week.

New York Jets (11-7) (+7.5) at Indianapolis (15-2) 3:00PM Eastern

The Jets did an amazing job holding the Chargers to 14 points.  The Colts’ offense is similar, but Peyton Manning has more experience.  The Jets will win and go to the Super Bowl because they can run on the Colts better than the Colts can run on the Jets.  Take the Jets and the points.

Minnesota Vikings (13-4) (+4)at New Orleans Saints (14-3) 6:40PM Eastern

A lot of people want to see Brett Favre win a Super Bowl.  Few of those people will be in the Superdome as Saints fans will be loud and stuff.  The Saints will bury some of the past hauntings of New Orleans (Hurricane Katrina, Harry Connick, Jr., etc. ) and finally go to a Super Bowl.  Take the Saints and give the points.

NFL 2009 Division Round Playoffs

I actually had a good week picking last week’s games, going 3-1.  After getting the Jets-Bengals game wrong to start the weekend, I rung up three consecutive wins.  If I keep this up, I could replace Frank Caliendo on Fox’s Pre-Game show or Elinor Clift on The McLaughlin Group.

Arizona Cardinals (+7) at New Orleans Saints

What happens when two high-powered offenses collide?  The game usually becomes a defensive struggle.  The Saints will probably win it, but it will be low scoring enough for the Cardinals to cover.  Take the Cardinals and the points.

Baltimore Ravens (+6.5) at Indianapolis Colts

The focus will be on the Colts’ high octane offense against the Ravens’ stifling defense.  The game will be decided though on the Colts’ unheralded defense stopping Ray Rice and flustering Joe Flacco often enough to force him to turn the ball and the Colts defense scoring a touchdown.  Take the Colts and give the points.

Dallas Cowboys (+3) at Minnesota Vikings

The Vikings struggled at the end of the season while the Cowboys picked up steam.  The football gods will rub more salt into Redskins’ fans wounds and make the Cowboys win in a laughter.  Take the Cowboys and the points.

New York Jets (+7) at San Diego Chargers

Both teams come into this game as hot as global warming the sun.  Mark Sanchez returns to the state where he was born and raised.  He’ll do the things that need to be done to allow the Jets to win. (Hand the ball off to Thomas Jones, throw a screen pass to Thomas Jones, etc.)  Take the Jets and the points.

Last week: 3-1  Playoffs: 3-1